Daily Papers

Does the relationship between learning rules and brain alignment generalize across species? We extend our prior finding that untrained CNNs match backpropagation at human V1 by testing the same five learning rules against macaque electrophysiology. The rules are backpropagation (BP), feedback alignment (FA), predictive coding (PC), spike-timing-dependent plasticity (STDP), and an untrained random-weights baseline. The macaque data come from two datasets: MajajHong2015 (V4/IT, 3,200 stimulus presentations, 88/168 neurons) and FreemanZiemba2013 (V1/V2, 135 stimuli, 102/103 neurons). Using RSA with identical model weights from our human study, we find: (1) all models achieve higher alignment with macaque early visual cortex (rho = 0.15-0.30 at V1/V2) than with human fMRI (rho = 0.01-0.08), consistent with the higher signal-to-noise ratio of electrophysiology; (2) STDP and PC produce the highest macaque V1/V2 alignment (rho ~ 0.30 and 0.28), consistent with their leading position among trained rules in human V1; (3) at IT, learning rule rankings show no detectable correlation across species (Kendall's tau = 0.00, p = 1.00), though this null result is expected given that n = 5 provides power only at tau = +/-1.0, and is further confounded by stimulus set differences; (4) a pretrained ResNet-50 (ImageNet) achieves rho = 0.25 at macaque IT, substantially above all custom CNN conditions (rho = 0.07-0.14), suggesting IT alignment is limited by model capacity and training data rather than by the learning rule. Noise ceilings, multi-seed variability (5 seeds), and a stimulus-control analysis are reported. These results demonstrate that early visual alignment is robust across species, while higher-area alignment is modulated by model capacity and stimulus domain.

Representations from transformer-based unidirectional language models are known to be effective at predicting brain responses to natural language. However, most studies comparing language models to brains have used GPT-2 or similarly sized language models. Here we tested whether larger open-source models such as those from the OPT and LLaMA families are better at predicting brain responses recorded using fMRI. Mirroring scaling results from other contexts, we found that brain prediction performance scales log-linearly with model size from 125M to 30B parameter models, with ~15% increased encoding performance as measured by correlation with a held-out test set across 3 subjects. Similar log-linear behavior was observed when scaling the size of the fMRI training set. We also characterized scaling for acoustic encoding models that use HuBERT, WavLM, and Whisper, and we found comparable improvements with model size. A noise ceiling analysis of these large, high-performance encoding models showed that performance is nearing the theoretical maximum for brain areas such as the precuneus and higher auditory cortex. These results suggest that increasing scale in both models and data will yield incredibly effective models of language processing in the brain, enabling better scientific understanding as well as applications such as decoding.

Large language models fine-tuned on human behavioural data have emerged as general-purpose cognitive proxies, but the scale this requires, and whether these models process task structure or exploit statistical shortcuts, remain open questions. We train fourteen models from 135M to 14B parameters across four architecture families on Psych-101, a dataset of 10.7 million trial-level choices from 160 experiments. For in-distribution simulations, scale barely matters. The models fall within a narrow band, as though against a ceiling, and 0.6B to 1B parameters suffice to match a 70B baseline on held-out participants. Out-of-distribution, that band opens into a markedly steeper scaling gradient, with larger models clearly advantaged in generalisation to novel task structure. To determine what information these models use, we run two diagnostics. We progressively strip four prompt channels -- task instructions, experimental stimuli, outcome feedback, and choice history -- across 27 experiments, and permute trial order. Masking the content of stimuli and feedback destroys 75.7% of learned information and pushes models below chance, demonstrating that choice history alone does not account for performance. Permutation reveals invariance on tasks with independent trials but sensitivity where trial order is determined by prior responses. Small cognitively fine-tuned models therefore show promise as noise ceiling estimators for psychological experiments, though their scope remains bounded by the paradigms seen in training.

Reasoning traces from chain-of-thought models appear to offer a legible window into how a model arrives at its answer. A growing body of work treats them as such, using LLM judges to diagnose errors, evaluate faithfulness, and provide step-level supervision via process reward models and generative critics. These practices rely on the text of a reasoning step carrying information about its functional role. But does the text actually encode information about which reasoning steps matter? We operationalize the importance of a reasoning step as its advantage: the change in expected reward, e.g., producing the correct final answer, from including that step, estimated via Monte Carlo rollouts. Basing ground truth on these estimates, we evaluate whether LLM judges can identify high-advantage steps and find that sufficiently capable LLMs can outperform a prevalence baseline but fall well short of a noise ceiling. Fine-tuning a model as a step-level critic yields strong improvement for incorrect responses but remains distant from ceiling for correct responses, suggesting that step importance is only partially recoverable from the text of the reasoning trace. Our findings contribute to a growing body of chain-of-thought faithfulness work that cautions against treating the legibility of reasoning traces as interpretability, especially with implications for process reward modeling.

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) improves LLM reasoning, yet growing evidence indicates an exploration ceiling: it often reweights existing solution traces rather than discovering new strategies, limiting gains under large sampling budgets (e.g., pass-at-256). We address this limitation with PSN-RLVR, which perturbs policy parameters before rollout generation to induce temporally consistent, trajectory-level exploration that better preserves long-horizon chain-of-thought coherence than action-space noise. To mitigate the resulting sampling-update mismatch, we incorporate truncated importance sampling (TIS). To avoid expensive KL-based adaptive noise control, we propose a computationally efficient real-time adaptive noise scheduler driven by a lightweight surrogate that combines semantic diversity with normalized self-certainty. Instantiated on GRPO, a widely used RLVR method, PSN-GRPO consistently expands the effective reasoning capability boundary across multiple mathematical reasoning benchmarks and model families, yielding higher pass-at-k under large sampling budgets and outperforming prior exploration-oriented RLVR methods (e.g., Pass-at-k-style training) while remaining orthogonal and thus composable for additional gains.

Position bias in multiple-choice LLM evaluation is widely cited as a confound in capability comparisons, but published measurements rely on single answer-order shuffles whose results confound the bias signal with content-level noise and sampling stochasticity. I introduce inspect_permute, an open-source extension to the inspect_ai evaluation framework that runs exhaustive answer-order permutations per question and reports the chi-squared / Cramer V signature of position bias with bootstrap confidence intervals. I apply the tool across four vendors (gpt-4o-mini, claude-haiku-4-5, gemini-2.5-flash, grok-3) on five MMLU subjects, 24,000 API calls under temperature-0 generation, with falsifier predictions pre-registered via a public SHA-256 hash before half the data was observed. Position bias turns out to be statistically detectable only within a roughly 60-95% base-accuracy Goldilocks zone. Below it, processing-load dominance swamps subject-specific signal; above it, ceiling effects compress the variance below the chi-squared test resolution. Detectable cells separate into two mechanism types: monotone A-to-D decrease (processing_load, in low-tier models) and non-monotone D-drop (content_ambiguity, in a narrow capability band). Standard MMLU places every frontier-tier model above the detection band, so absence of signal there should be read as not measurable, not unbiased. Together with the ceiling-effect characterisation in arXiv:2606.26185, this work brackets the detectable region of position-bias measurement and makes the field central question askable in a verifiable form. Package, data, preregistration under MIT.

Hallucination, broadly referring to unfaithful, fabricated, or inconsistent content generated by LLMs, has wide-ranging implications. Therefore, a large body of effort has been devoted to detecting LLM hallucinations, as well as designing benchmark datasets for evaluating these detectors. In this work, we first establish a desiderata of properties for hallucination detection benchmarks (HDBs) to exhibit for effective evaluation. A critical look at existing HDBs through the lens of our desiderata reveals that none of them exhibits all the properties. We identify two largest gaps: (1) RAG-based grounded benchmarks with long context are severely lacking (partly because length impedes human annotation); and (2) Existing benchmarks do not make available realistic label noise for stress-testing detectors although real-world use-cases often grapple with label noise due to human or automated/weak annotation. To close these gaps, we build and open-source a new RAG-based HDB called T RIVIA+ that underwent a rigorous human annotation process. Notably, our benchmark exhibits all desirable properties including (1) T RIVIA+ contains samples with the longest context in the literature; and (2) we design and share four sets of noisy labels with different, both sample-dependent and sampleindependent, noise schemes. Finally, we perform experiments on RAG-based HDBs, including our T RIVIA+, using popular SOTA detectors that reveal new insights: (i) ample room remains for current detectors to reach the performance ceiling on RAG-based HDBs, (ii) the basic LLM-as-a-Judge baseline performs competitively, and (iii) label noise hinders detection performance. We expect that our findings, along with our proposed benchmark 1 , will motivate and foster needed research on hallucination detection for RAG-based tasks.

Model merging is promoted as a substitute for joint multi-task training, yet in the reinforcement-learning setting this substitution is essentially never tested against the baseline it claims to replace: methods merge independently released agents precisely because a joint model is unavailable. We build the missing comparison. Training difficulty-1 and difficulty-2 Qwen3-8B specialists on the AppWorld agent benchmark with LOOP, we merge them (TIES, RAM+) and pit the result against a jointly trained model on the same data. On task-goal completion, merging matches joint RL -- and every merge variant is statistically indistinguishable. To explain why merge method does not matter here, we measure the geometry of the specialists' task vectors, which carries no task-sampling noise: they are near-orthogonal (cosine 0.06 - 0.10) despite ~65% support overlap, a small, shared direction that grows over training and that we calibrate against a random-init floor and a same-run ceiling to confirm it reflects learning, not the low-rank parameterization. Because direction and support are decoupled, support and sign-based merging (RAM, TIES) collapse to near-uniform averaging. We release all code and statistics.

Most single-channel separators estimate a source by applying a real gain to the mixture in each time-frequency bin. The optimum of that format, which the oracle masks used as bounds do not attain, is the orthogonal projection of the source onto the line spanned by the mixture, its residual set by the angle between them. Locating an estimator reduces to the block structure of a real-linear operator on stacked spectra, giving a chain of four nested classes whose three larger terms match three assumptions on the prior: zero means, circularity and absence of inter-frequency coupling. Held fixed the chain is a cascade of four orthogonal projections; refitted per frame it collapses onto its first term, attributing the whole residual to one missing real parameter per bin, the phase. When the phase posterior is symmetric about the mixture direction, the minimum mean-square estimate falls back onto the line, with gain the posterior mean of the oracle gain and excess error its variance. On MUSDB18 a posterior mean under a non-circular Gaussian-mixture prior leaves the class yet stays 11.44 dB under the per-frame ceiling, which four times as many components and 7.5x the data do not close; a closed-form gate attributes some 70% of it, in decibels, to the predicted variance. The widest fixed class stays 6.70 dB under the same ceiling. Leaving the class and minimising squared error are conflicting requests: the barrier lies in the criterion rather than in the prior.